Florida State vs Virginia 10/2/2010

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Florida State is a solid favorite with a 66% chance to beat Virginia. Jermaine Thomas is projected for 56 rushing yards and a 39% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 34% of simulations where Virginia wins, Marc Verica averages 1.48 TD passes vs 0.78 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.77 TDs to 1 interceptions. Keith Payne averages 57 rushing yards and 0.72 rushing TDs when Virginia wins and 47 yards and 0.36 TDs in losses. Florida State has a 53% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 77% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is VA +7 --- Over/Under line is 48

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